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As could be expected of a nation re-founded by a man who aspired to follow in the blood-drenched footsteps of Fidel Castro and Che Guevara,1 things aren’t going well for the “Rainbow Nation.”
Namely, President Trump has finally reversed decades of American policy2 by adopting a relatively pro-Afrikaner stance. That’s not to say he’s (yet) supporting Western Cape Secession and Independence, which would allow them to retain and defend part of the land their ancestors settled.3 But he has allowed those who want to escape to do so by pushing America into accepting Afrikaners as refugees. The first five dozen showed up on Monday, May 12.4 They’ll likely prove valuable citizens, quite in contrast to Biden’s Haitians and the rest of the world’s castaways that our prior refugee programs have accepted. So, it’s a good deal for America. But not for South Africa, which will likely starve because of it. And anti-white DEI on steroids5 is to blame.
That gets to the root of the problem in South Africa and why the Afrikaners are leaving. It’s not that they’re lazy, cowards, or trying to pilfer from American welfare programs like most of the other refugee tidal waves we’ve experienced. Rather, it’s that the ANC government is trying to appease its poor and angry supporters by seizing white farmland and giving it to black supporters of the regime.6
Listen to the audio version of this article here:
Those who have read my articles on Rhodesia know that this is exactly how Robert Mugabe destroyed Zimbabwe. I have already covered the land expropriation issue at some length, so I won’t do so in tedious detail again here.
But to briefly review the dire situation created by the land expropriation that the Zimbabwean communists called “land reform,” Mugabe’s race-based land expropriation meant Zimbabwe went from being so rich in grain and maize that it was called the “bread basket of Africa” to a land where half the population is malnourished.7 Even today, years after the post-Mugabe government started allowing white farmers back, 60% of the population remains unable to feed itself.8 Predictably, the country has remained a starving train-wreck since the land expropriation campaign, with the exception of a particularly good growing year (2017) in which the government felt so bold as to label “land reform” a success.9 It then went back to starving and begging for aid nearly immediately, as the exceptionally good conditions drew to a close.10 Equally predictably, the government blamed the weather rather than “land reform” for the return of famine,11 and ignored that it only managed to boost grain production in 2017 by shifting away from the production of export crops, such as the tobacco for which Rhodesia was once famous.
In summary, when black dictators steal the land of competent farmers and hand it to their co-ethnics with no care as to if those who receive the stolen acres can farm, it goes poorly and those who the government claims it aims to help—poor blacks—tend to starve.
That is what South Africa is on the verge of learning, as the Zimbabwean experience shows. The Boers, whose name means “farmers” in Afrikaans, are leaving. They are the ones who produce over 95% of South Africa’s corn, 98% of its wheat, and 96% of its chicken, to name but a few examples of their massive productivity.12 In total, the Boers produce more than 80% of South Africa’s food13 despite owning just 70% of the farmland,14 meaning they produce food far in excess of their relative land ownership. Further, they do so despite being denied the water licenses15 and hundreds of millions of aid dollars16 that the government hands to black farmers.
Thus, as the South African government steals land from white farmers under the guise of racial economic equity so that it can refuse to pay compensation,17 land will increasingly be taken out of the hands of hyper-productive Boer farmers and placed in the hands of utterly incompetent friends of the regime. Here’s a very short video from South African political figure Willem Petzer describing how the expropriated farms fail nearly immediately:
Similarly, a South African farmer on X who goes by the name “Boer” posted a great thread in 202418 showing what South African farms look like before and after they were taken from whites to be handed to blacks:
The story told by Boer’s pictures and Willem’s video is borne out by the data: according to a study hostile to the whites and published by the University of Leeds, blacks produce only 5-10% of South Africa’s agricultural products despite owning 30% of the land.19 Further, the study admitted that when black farmers were handed “fair to good” farmland in 2006, they quickly ran it into the ground: “[black] farmers struggled to effectively cultivate these lands, leading to soil degradation, overgrazing, and poor planting decisions.”20
Therefore, further handing of farmland and agricultural resources to black farmers would be a catastrophe. Assuming the high end of the Leeds study is correct and blacks produce about 10% of the food while owning 30% of the land, handing all of South Africa’s farmland to them would mean the country could produce just a third of the foodstuffs it presently does.
That calculation appears to be close to correct, as Zimbabwe’s total food production fell by over 60% during Mugabe’s land expropriation campaign.21
Further, the resultant food crisis would be even worse in South Africa than in Zimbabwe, as the “breadbasket of Africa” was at least at a high level of production before its collapse, whereas South Africa is already food insecure and trending worse by the year.22 Thus, its ~66% fall in food production would take place in a country not only with far more mouths to feed and with no well-fed country like South Africa to which they could flee, but also with a lower starting level in nutrition production.
So, forcing the white farmers out would be an utter catastrophe and result in something even worse than the famine visited upon Zimbabwe as a result of its land expropriation campaign.
Sadly, the ANC and its supporters don’t seem to understand that signal fact and the downstream consequences of genocide-caused food insecurity. Rather, comforted by the fact that black laborers do much of the day-to-day manual work on white-owned commercial farms, they think forcing the Boers out would be salutary for equity and cause no corresponding issues with food production.23 In reality, the previously cited Leeds study found the white-owned farms are highly productive successes because of the prudent management of their owners, not because of the laborers on them.24
So, handing the farms to the day laborers would not keep food production up, but rather would still lead to the aforementioned decline in production and result in starvation. The recently viral story of 350,000 South African chickens needing to be euthanized because their black owners didn’t feel like feeding them and left them to go cannibalistic is representative of what tends to happen when the inmates are left to run the asylum.25 In other words, husking corn is necessary, but far from all it takes to run a multi-thousand-acre commercial farm relying on mechanical equipment, modern fertilizers, GMO crops, and complex supply chains.
Averting a headlong plummet off the cliff, then, does not appear likely. Rather, starvation appears to be baked into the mud cake.
The Rainbow Nation is on the verge of self-suicide. Trump’s refugee decision has created a pressure release valve that increasing numbers of Afrikaners will take advantage of as the state grows ever more hostile to them. As they leave, the state will take over what farms it hasn’t already confiscated and give them to the sort of lazy and incompetent, black-owned commercial firms that left a million chickens to starve.26 As a result, the people of South Africa will starve, not just the chickens, and the country will revert to what it was before the Afrikaners arrived and raised it out of the Stone Age.
If you are curious what that will look like, my friend Rory Duncan,27 a Rhodesian now living in South Africa, recently told a great story on this as seen through the lens of Zimbabwe’s post-land expropriation days (emphasis added):
Some days, my mind wanders back to a farm I managed in the eastern highlands of Zimbabwe in the late 80s. It was something special. We produced apples, peaches, pears, and kiwi fruit for local and export markets. We grew broccoli and cauliflower for the frozen veg market and did seed potatoes for a major contract. All on a large scale. Im talking about 1000s of tons of produce. We had a herd of Jersey cows for milking and made butter and cream. We plowed huge hectarage to grow maize, sweet potato, and vegetables for the farm workers. We had a junior school there with a headmaster and 5 classes. We had a clinic with a permanent nursing sister with meds and staff. We had a church with a pastor and a football team competing in provincial leagues. Every worker, 550 of them, lived in a brick home with electricity, running water, and a wood stove with unlimited firewood. There was a large store that provided everything from blankets to bicycles. There was a section of the farm dedicated to wildlife conservation. We had a proactive workers committee and had regular updates and meetings and professionally integrated management systems. We had huge refrigeration facilities and a modern pack shed with a fleet of trucks. The engineering division had everything it needed, including skilled workers to maintain a large estate. We had a beekeeping division, everything worked, and our people were cherished. We had adult literacy courses in the evenings at the farm hall and transport to functioning hospitals at any time of day or night. We had professional security services with a canine unit. A football field with a coach and smart uniforms and boots provided to the teams. The annual turnover was in the multiple millions, and the wage spend was huge, as was the tax bill. We spent millions on tractors, implements, fertilizers and fuels. Today [after land expropriation], it is a village of subsistence level agriculture, all of it gone with hardly a memory of what was once there.
That is what South Africa has to look forward to: the regression to Stone Age-tier subsistence agriculture. No running water, no electricity, and very little food.
HL Mencken famously described democracy by saying: “Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want and deserve to get it good and hard.” Well, under Mandela the Soviet and Soros-backed terrorist,28 South Africa got black-run “democracy.” Now it’s getting that good and hard, as starvation is on the horizon.
Featured image credit: By Matt-80 - Own work, CC BY 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=203588
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Mandela infamously modelled his “Spear of the Nation” terror group on the successes of Castro in Cuba:
Nelson Mandela Was a Communist Terrorist, Not a Saint
Welcome back and thank you for reading! I am back home after my wedding and honeymoon and so back to writing. One thought I had about content moving forward is that I could just write when I have tim…
How the United States Supported Genocide in Southern Africa
“Kill the Boer,” Elon’s Brave Stand, and Foreign Policy Horrors
Rhodesia Shows Asylum Isn't How to Help the Boers
Thank you very much for reading and subscribing. Your attention and support make this publication possible. If you find this article valuable, it would be hugely helpful if you could like it by tappi…
Discussed here:
George Soros's Hand in South Africa's Destruction
Thanks for reading! If you like this article, please tap the heart icon to like it. Doing so lets Substack know you enjoyed it, and the algorithm then promotes it. Thanks again!
Discussed at great length here:
South Africa Just Followed Rhodesia's Path to to Ruin; America Must Pay Attention
Thank you very much for reading and subscribing. Your attention and support let me do this and spread more of these stories of regime malfeasance and Western tradition to those who need to hear them.…
A good summary of their agricultural contributions: https://x.com/DaveAtherton20/status/1922605918836887552
The mechanics of the program described here:
South Africa Just Followed Rhodesia's Path to to Ruin; America Must Pay Attention
Thank you very much for reading and subscribing. Your attention and support let me do this and spread more of these stories of regime malfeasance and Western tradition to those who need to hear them.…
A representative claim on this front: https://x.com/MxolisiBob/status/1899115854173811138
How Rhodesia Fell, and Why South Africa is Falling Too with Rory Duncan
In this episode, Will and Rory Duncan, a man born in Rhodesia and now living in South Africa, discuss how Rhodesia fell and the parallels to South Africa. They focus on Rhodesian culture, the Bush Wa…
Nelson Mandela Was a Communist Terrorist, Not a Saint
Welcome back and thank you for reading! I am back home after my wedding and honeymoon and so back to writing. One thought I had about content moving forward is that I could just write when I have tim…
Unmentioned is when Idi Amin kicked out all the Asians from Uganda. Most were Indian shopkeepers, government bureaucrats, in the trades. Educated and skilled people who were perceived to be taking good paying jobs from the locals. Never mind that the Asians were 3rd, 4th generation. Uganda was their home. Uganda became and remains a basket case since the 1972 expulsions.
The "Coloured" class in South Africa is doomed. It is likely they'll fair no better than the mixed race Blacks did after the Haitian Revolution in 1804. Neither the Whites nor mixed race people in Haiti were lucky enough to get deported.
Proving blacks can’t govern. Look no further then right here in America. Show me a city where blacks actually made things better. They want the spoils. And after they get the spoils… they don’t share. They buy fancy cars and mansions. Then they go broke, and blame it on racism.